Inversão dos ciclos econômicos no Brasil: uma análise entre os anos 2020 a 2021

Abstract

Economic cycles are understood by types of fluctuations found in the set of economic activity, modifying processes and directing the economy. The inversion of the cycle provides changes that take shape in a structuring way in the economy based on the productive sectors. This work, therefore, has the main objective of analyzing the cyclical inversion process of the Brazilian economy in a short-term conception, caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Supporting the analyzed processes, the work consists of qualitative and quantitative characterization, with bibliographical research in theoretical and exploratory support based on data from Ipeadata, FGV and IBGE. As a result, a mild recessive process was identified in the industrial sector, with a slight recovery in 2020, thus centralizing the recessive process in the services sector. In the following year, the services sector recovered, being central and mainly responsible for the resumption of growth in the Brazilian economy.