Planos de controle da inflação no Brasil e os preços agrícolas: uma análise preliminar

Abstract

This work seeks to review the types and theories of inflation present in the economic literature, as well as to demonstrate how the main inflation indicators of the Brazilian economy are structured and the historical trajectory of plans to fight inflation. Its main objective in the results is to show that in the post plano real period agricultural prices start to behave differently from prices in other segments of the economy. Result: will the agricultural segment lose out in this story? Do agricultural products now follow the behavior of crop cycles? In harvest periods, when the supply is greater, prices are reduced, in the off-season when supply decreases, prices increase. Partially, there appears to be a drop in inflationary inertia because agricultural prices respond to seasonality, rising and falling prices. Agricultural prices reflect more this fall in inflationary inertia because they respect this seasonality. The behaviors of inflation indices are quite different from the behavior of the seasonality of agricultural prices, because in the inflation indices there are not only agricultural prices, there are service and industrial prices, this shows that there must probably be losses on the part of farmers, since they receive for seasonal prices, this drop should represent some kind of loss.