Competitividade e Desenvolvimento: Evolução da Produção do Setor Lácteo das Regiões Nordeste e Sudeste, uma Análise Comparativa do impacto do PRONAF na configuração do setor

Abstract

The open trade experienced by Brazil in recent decades, incorporated into an environment of intense participation of agribusiness in the internal economic transactions as transactions linked to the international market, was necessary to insert the agents linked to this sector, particularly small producers. This work has the purpose of analyzing the competitiveness and the strengthening of the productive chain in the milk-producing Northeastern mesoregions, characterized by being of household production, and noting some determinant of competitiveness in the sector. Searching through the estimation of linear regression models and semilogarithmic scale, and with the use of the Shift-Share model, check whether there was structural change to variable production of cow's milk for two regions. Being applied in a comparative analysis with the larger meso-regions of the country – producers located in the Southeast region-to break down the growth of the dairy herd's expansion and effect the productivity effect. Strengthening the industry analysis, using some economic data by referencing the National Program of strengthening family agriculture (PRONAF) before and after the show in 1974/2013 period. It is concluded that the supply of credit is not a sufficient condition to generate greater competitiveness based on the productivity of dairy farming in the Northeastern States.