Competitividade e desenvolvimento: evolução da produção do setor lácteo das regiões Nordeste e Sudeste, uma análise comparativa do impacto do PRONAF na configuração do setor.

Abstract

Trade liberalization experienced by Brazil in recent decades, embodied in an environment of intense participation of agribusiness in domestic economic transactions as the transactions related to the international market, has required the inclusion of agents linked to this sector, especially small farmers. This work aims to analyze the competitiveness and strengthening the milk production chain in producing meso Northeastern, characterized by being of family production, and observing some key aspects of competitiveness in the sector. Searching through the estimation of linear and logarithmic regression models, and using the Shift-Share model, see if there was structural change to variable production of cow's milk for two regions. It is applied in a comparative analysis with the largest producers mesoregions the country - located in the Southeast - to decompose the growth of milk production in the effects expansion of the flock and the productivity effect. Strengthening the sector analysis, using some economic data referencing the National Program for Strengthening Family Agriculture (PRONAF) before and after the program in the 1974/2013 period. It was concluded that the supply of credit is not a sufficient condition to generate greater competitiveness based on productivity of dairy cattle in the northeastern states.